Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
KRI
2 - 2
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 2
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 1
FCA
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 3
SER
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
FCV
1 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FCV
3 - 2
RAP
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
KRI
2 - 1
FCV
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FCV
1 - 0
CHI
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCV
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |