Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 0
FCA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
0 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
BIE
5 - 1
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
5 - 3
WOH
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FCV
2 - 2
BIE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCV
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 3
FCV
8%
14%
79%
|
61 | 12 | 49 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 0
LUG
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 2
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |