Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 3
FCA
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
STA
3 - 0
FCA
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 2
FCA
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 1
SCH
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
FCA
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
BIE
0 - 4
FCV
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCV
6 - 1
DEL
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LOC
1 - 3
FCV
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 2
FCV
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
FCV
0 - 3
LUG
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |