Aarau vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 1
YOB
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FCA
3 - 1
BAS
21%
24%
56%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 5
SIO
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
FCV
2 - 1
ESC
91%
7%
2%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCV
69%
18%
12%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
FCV
3 - 5
ZUR
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FCV
2 - 4
NEX
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |