Aarau vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
YOB
4 - 1
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
ETO
3 - 1
FCA
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
DEL
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
DEL
1 - 1
ETO
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
ETO
1 - 2
DEL
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
ETO
3 - 1
FCA
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1999 |
YOB
1 - 1
ETO
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 0
ETO
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |