Aarau vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SER
2 - 1
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
BAS
2 - 1
FCA
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
NEX
3 - 0
FCA
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
FCA
0 - 2
GCZ
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
FCL
1 - 1
ETO
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
ETO
0 - 6
GCZ
14%
22%
64%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
STG
3 - 2
ETO
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
ETO
0 - 4
NEX
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
SIO
1 - 1
ETO
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |