Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 3
FCA
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 2
LAU
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 2
FCA
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 1
FCA
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
WOH
2 - 1
CHI
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LAU
0 - 0
CHI
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
SCH
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
NEX
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |