Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 0
LOC
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
FCA
6 - 0
BIE
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 3
FCA
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 0
FCA
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
LOC
1 - 2
CHI
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
WIL
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 2
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 3
CHI
70%
19%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WOH
2 - 2
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |