Aarau vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
LOC
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 1
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIO
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +3 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FCA
7 - 0
ETO
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
BIE
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 4
BIE
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
STA
0 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
ETO
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |