Aarau vs Biel-Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
SPL
0 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
GCZ
6 - 2
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FCA
3 - 4
FCL
21%
21%
58%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 1
LEM
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
WOH
0 - 0
FCA
36%
26%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
BIE
1 - 3
THU
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
BIE
4 - 3
PAD
24%
22%
54%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BIE
2 - 3
BAS
11%
18%
71%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
STG
1 - 3
BIE
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 1
BIE
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |