Aarau vs Biel-Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCA
34%
25%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
WOH
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
FCA
4 - 2
ALT
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
FCA
3 - 2
THU
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LAU
5 - 4
BIE
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
BIE
1 - 0
FCL
13%
18%
69%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
BIE
3 - 0
YOB
14%
20%
67%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BIE
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 0
BIE
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |