Aarau vs Biel-Bienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PFO
1 - 4
FCA
10%
15%
75%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCA
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
3 - 1
WIN
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LEM
1 - 4
BIE
18%
20%
62%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
WOH
0 - 0
BIE
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BIE
3 - 2
WIN
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BIE
4 - 2
FCV
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 2
BIE
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |