Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
58%
22%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 3
STA
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 8
FCA
2%
5%
93%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 4
FCA
24%
24%
53%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
ZAL
0 - 1
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
5 - 1
GCZ
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 1
PYU
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SIO
2 - 1
BAS
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 4
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |