Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 6
FCL
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 0
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
YOB
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
GCZ
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 3
BAS
21%
22%
56%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |