Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 0
NEX
29%
27%
43%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
SIO
4 - 0
FCA
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEL
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GCZ
4 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCL
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 2
STG
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
36%
25%
40%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |