Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 3
ZUR
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
FCA
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 0
BEL
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 2
SIO
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 1
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEL
75%
16%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NEX
2 - 3
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
YOB
0 - 0
BAS
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |