Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
FCA
2 - 0
SIO
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
YOB
4 - 1
FCA
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
STG
1 - 1
FCA
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 7
FCA
21%
23%
57%
|
68 | 23 | 45 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
17%
23%
61%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
BAS
6 - 0
SAR
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
STG
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NEX
0 - 3
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 2
BAS
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |