Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
YOB
4 - 0
FCA
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCA
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
FCA
3 - 0
THU
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
STG
1 - 4
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIO
66%
19%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 4
BAS
9%
15%
76%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
GCZ
1 - 1
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |