Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
THU
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCA
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 2
SCH
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 0
SCH
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 5
BAS
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
SIO
0 - 0
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
75%
15%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |