Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
YVE
3 - 1
FCA
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 1
THU
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
FCA
3 - 1
NEX
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
YVE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
NEX
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
MID
4 - 1
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
MID
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCA
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |