Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 2
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SER
3 - 1
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
FCA
3 - 1
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
GCZ
2 - 3
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FCA
1 - 2
THU
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UGS
1 - 4
BAS
4%
13%
83%
|
85 | 34 | 51 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 2
MAL
87%
10%
4%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
4 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2003 |
NEX
1 - 3
BAS
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
YOB
71%
16%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |