Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
SER
3 - 2
FCA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1998 |
LAU
4 - 1
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -3 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
FCA
0 - 3
GCZ
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
FCA
1 - 2
SIO
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1998 |
BAS
0 - 0
SIO
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
BAS
3 - 0
SOL
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
KRI
1 - 3
BAS
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
BAS
4 - 1
YOB
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
NEX
2 - 1
BAS
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |