Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
GCZ
4 - 2
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
SER
1 - 2
FCA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCA
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1996 |
FCA
0 - 0
SIO
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 0
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
LAU
0 - 0
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUG
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
GCZ
4 - 2
BAS
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |