Aarau vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
3 - 0
SER
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
FCA
3 - 2
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
STG
3 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 2
GCZ
30%
26%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
GCZ
3 - 0
BAS
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 1
STG
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |