FC Aarau U15 vs FC Luzern U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
85.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.9%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+150%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
9º
32
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Aarau U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WIN
4 - 1
FCA
94%
5%
2%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 4
CON
6%
11%
83%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TTI
4 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 4
GCZ
6%
12%
83%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
STG
5 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
3%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Luzern U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LUZ
4 - 3
ZOB
93%
5%
2%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCZ
3 - 1
LUZ
28%
20%
52%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 0
KRI
76%
13%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LUZ
6 - 4
WIN
62%
18%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CON
5 - 6
LUZ
51%
21%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |