Moncada vs Meliana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 5
TUR
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 3
MON
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 4
BUR
21%
22%
57%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
TAV
2 - 1
MON
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Meliana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 4
CLU
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 3
MEL
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 1
XIR
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
MEL
70%
16%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 4
TUR
33%
22%
46%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |