Moncada vs Benicalap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 3
CRA
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MON
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 3
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
RAC
85%
10%
4%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 5
MON
22%
22%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Benicalap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 2
CFU
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CFU
2 - 0
RAC
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 4
CFU
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CFU
2 - 1
ELI
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PED
3 - 0
CFU
66%
19%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |