Moncada vs Serranos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MIS
2 - 3
MON
71%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MON
5 - 4
MEL
50%
22%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MON
1 - 5
TUR
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 3
MON
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Serranos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SER
3 - 2
CLU
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 2
SER
9%
15%
76%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SER
0 - 0
XIR
53%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
TUR
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PUZ
0 - 5
SER
35%
23%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |