Moncada vs Casas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 1
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 3
CAS
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 2
MON
9%
16%
76%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
SPO
81%
12%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Casas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
7 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 4
CAS
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 0
GOD
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 1
CAS
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
8 - 2
CLU
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |