UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 6-1
FBK Kaunas vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Kaunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
SLI
0 - 2
FBK
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
ZAL
0 - 0
FBK
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
FBK
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
FBK
2 - 1
FKE
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
FKE
1 - 1
FBK
46%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
SLI
0 - 2
FBK
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BIR
2 - 1
SLI
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2004 |
SLI
3 - 1
HIB
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 2
SLI
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
FLO
1 - 4
SLI
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |