FBK Karlstad vs Vasalunds IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
15º
13º
46
3º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 1
KAR
26%
25%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 3
FBK
66%
19%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
FBK
79%
14%
6%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 3
SAN
9%
15%
76%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 2
SOL
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vasalunds IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
VAS
3 - 0
HTF
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
0 - 0
VAS
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
ASS
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 2
UME
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
VAS
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |