FBK Karlstad vs Saffle SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
14º
2º
27
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
IKZ
3 - 2
FBK
6%
11%
82%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 2
SKO
42%
22%
36%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
3 - 2
FBK
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FBK
3 - 0
VFK
36%
22%
43%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HER
4 - 1
FBK
66%
17%
17%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Saffle SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SKS
0 - 2
LID
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GAU
6 - 0
SKS
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SKS
1 - 3
STE
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
BKF
0 - 1
SKS
68%
16%
16%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SKS
3 - 1
NOR
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |