FBK Karlstad vs Lidköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
8º
1º
26
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
45% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FBK
3 - 0
IFH
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
FBK
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FBK
4 - 1
KUM
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
FBK
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 3
FBK
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lidköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
LID
2 - 1
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
HER
0 - 0
LID
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
IKT
0 - 1
LID
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LID
0 - 0
VFK
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LID
1 - 0
KUM
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |