FBK Karlstad vs Kumla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
8º
1º
17
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
45% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
FBK
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 3
FBK
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
VFK
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 3
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 2
FBK
21%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kumla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
0 - 3
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LID
1 - 0
KUM
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
1 - 1
TFC
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
2 - 4
AIF
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 3
KUM
22%
20%
58%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |