FBK Karlstad vs Haga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
8º
1º
14
12º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 53 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 49 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 44 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 40 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 36 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 34 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 17 |
13º
|
49.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 16 |
14º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
45% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
KON
2 - 3
FBK
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FBK
4 - 1
KUM
73%
17%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 1
FBK
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
MOT
4 - 3
FBK
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
VFK
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Haga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 0
VAN
21%
20%
60%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
IFH
2 - 0
GRE
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +4 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
TFC
3 - 1
IFH
25%
21%
55%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 0
AIF
11%
15%
74%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 2
KON
11%
14%
75%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -2 |