FBK Balkan vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
45.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 2
FBK
47%
22%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 0
IFL
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 1
FBK
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
FBK
0 - 2
HAS
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
FBK
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 3
SIM
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 1
KAR
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAS
4 - 0
SIM
67%
19%
13%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 3
OST
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HOG
1 - 2
SIM
19%
19%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |