FBK Balkan vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
10º
8º
37
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KRI
4 - 1
FBK
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FBK
2 - 1
HAS
18%
23%
60%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +4 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FBK
1 - 4
BER
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
FBK
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OST
1 - 1
FBK
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 2
TRE
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 4
SIM
57%
20%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SIM
4 - 1
OST
23%
20%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
NOS
2 - 0
SIM
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ROS
3 - 0
SIM
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |