FBK Balkan vs Karlshamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
11º
14º
12º
13
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 31 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 35% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
39% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBK Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
FBK
1 - 2
HOG
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FBK
4 - 3
SOG
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 2
FBK
78%
14%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
FBK
0 - 3
LBK
7%
14%
80%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 1
IFK
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 4
KAR
27%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
NOS
4 - 0
IFK
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 0
TRE
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 2
IFK
60%
19%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 3
IFK
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +2 |