FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SBO
4 - 2
MEL
29%
27%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 1
MEL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 0
BIN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
MEL
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 2
MAN
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPC
18%
23%
59%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SPC
4 - 0
PIR
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
SPC
28%
24%
47%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SPC
3 - 0
GAR
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |