FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
MEL
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
3 - 0
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 3
MEL
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
CAN
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SRP
2 - 1
SPC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SPC
4 - 0
AYA
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SPC
3 - 0
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 5
SPC
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 0
COM
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |