FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
BOC
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 2
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
MEL
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
0 - 2
MUN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
3 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
GAR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VAL
2 - 1
SPC
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |