FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CIE
3 - 0
MEL
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 3
ALI
44%
28%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 1
MEL
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
MEL
49%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MUN
0 - 5
SPC
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 3
SPC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
AUR
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |