FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GAR
1 - 1
MEL
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAC
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
AYA
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 0
PAL
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
PAC
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 1
SPC
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
UTC
0 - 2
SPC
20%
29%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 0
AYA
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |