FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
SBO
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
MEL
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
HUA
4 - 1
MEL
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
HUA
3 - 0
SPC
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 2
LEO
47%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
SPC
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
CNI
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AUR
2 - 1
SPC
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |