FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 0
MEL
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 4
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SBO
2 - 0
MEL
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 1
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
VAL
37%
27%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 1
CIE
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 1
SPC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
TOT
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |