FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
0 - 0
UNI
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
GAL
2 - 1
MEL
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 2
MEL
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SBO
1 - 1
SPC
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 2
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
SPC
4 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
0 - 2
SPC
52%
28%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |