FBC Melgar vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
MEL
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
UNI
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MEL
5 - 0
CAN
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
ALI
24%
28%
48%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
GAR
5 - 1
AUR
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
COM
3 - 2
AUR
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AUR
3 - 2
HUA
29%
27%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |