FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
MUN
1 - 2
MEL
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 2
CIE
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 1
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 1
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 1
SPO
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ALI
2 - 2
SBO
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ALI
1 - 2
SBO
59%
25%
16%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALI
25%
29%
46%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 0
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |