Redovan vs H. Nieves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 2
RED
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RED
1 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
RED
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RED
2 - 0
ALI
81%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
RED
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
HON
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
HON
0 - 2
ALI
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ASP
0 - 3
HON
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
RAF
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
HON
74%
16%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |