Loriguilla vs Macastre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loriguilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
4 - 0
LOR
64%
17%
19%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
3 - 2
CLU
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
REQ
0 - 3
LOR
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 0
RIB
39%
21%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 0
SAL
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Macastre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
FUE
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAM
8 - 0
MAC
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
4 - 3
VDM
50%
20%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 0
MAC
80%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
ATU
51%
20%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |